Prediction of discharge disability (moderate-severe disability (mRS≥4)) and mortality (mRS=6)
| mSOAR cut off point | n | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mRS≥4 | |||||
| ≥2 | 188 | 100 (95.2–100.0) | 27.1 (20.3–34.8) | 39.9 | 100 |
| ≥3 | 116 | 84 (73.7–91.4) | 65.81 (57.8–73.2) | 54.3 | 89.5 |
| ≥4 | 59 | 62.67 (50.7–73.6) | 92.26 (86.9–95.9) | 79.7 | 83.6 |
| ≥5 | 29 | 37.33 (26.4–49.3) | 99.35 (96.5–100.0) | 96.6 | 76.6 |
| ≥6 | 13 | 17.33 (9.6–27.8) | 100 (97.6–100.0) | 100 | 71.4 |
| ≥7 | 5 | 6.67 (2.2–14.9) | 100 (97.6–100.0) | 100 | 68.9 |
| ≥8 | 1 | 1.33 (0.03–7.2) | 100 (97.6–100.0) | 100 | 67.7 |
| mRS=6 | |||||
| ≥2 | 188 | 100 (88.8–100.0) | 21.1 (15.7–27.4) | 16.5 | 100 |
| ≥3 | 116 | 93.6 (78.6–99.2) | 56.3 (49.1–63.3) | 25 | 98.2 |
| ≥4 | 59 | 80.7 (62.5–92.5) | 82.9 (77.0–87.9) | 42.4 | 96.5 |
| ≥5 | 29 | 54.8 (36.0–72.7) | 93.9 (89.7–96.8) | 58.6 | 93 |
| ≥6 | 13 | 32.3 (16.7–51.4) | 98.5 (95.7–99.7) | 76.9 | 90.3 |
| ≥7 | 5 | 12.9 (3.6–29.8) | 99.5 (97.2–100.0) | 80 | 88 |
| ≥8 | 1 | 0 (0.0–11.2) | 99.5 (97.2–100.0) | 0 | 86.5 |
mRS = modified Rankin score; mSOAR = modified stroke subtype, Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project classification, age, pre-stroke modified Rankin score and the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score; NPV = negative predictive value; PPV = positive predictive value