Hypothetical scenarios tested. Values are numbers of patients per year, median + interquartile range
| Scenario | Cancelled elective surgery | Acute transfers out | Occupancy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | 57 (34–121) | 43 (27–64) | 0.92 (0.81–1.01) |
| Baseline + staffing up for electives | 27 (19–41) | 38 (23–56) | 0.93 (0.82–1.02) |
| New unit | 60 (40–92) | 42 (26–53) | 0.93 (0.83–1.01) |
| New unit + staffing up for electives | 31 (22–44) | 41 (31–62) | 0.91 (0.81–1.01) |
| New unit + 2 HDU beds + 0 nurses | 47 (28–82) | 35 (19–49) | 0.81 (0.73–0.90) |
| New unit + 2 HDU beds + 1 nurse | 32 (19–46) | 24 (13–36) | 0.83 (0.74–0.91) |
| New unit + 2 HDU beds + 2 nurses | 14 (8–24) | 8 (4–13) | 0.81 (0.72–0.90) |
| New unit + 4 HDU beds + 2 nurses | 11 (6–17) | 9 (5–15) | 0.75 (0.65–0.84) |
| New unit + 1 nurse | 34 (20–69) | 24 (12–39) | 0.93 (0.83–1.02) |
| New unit + overnight PACU | 30 (21–41) | 37 (25–55) | 0.88 (0.78–0.97) |
| New unit + no delayed discharges | 54 (37–98) | 33 (23–75) | 0.86 (0.78–0.96) |
HDU = high dependency unit; PACU = post anaesthetic care unit