Original articleValidation of a combined comorbidity index
Abstract
The basic objective of this paper is to evaluate an age-comorbidity index in a cohort of patients who were originally enrolled in a prospective study to identify risk factors for peri-operative complications. Two-hundred and twenty-six patients were enrolled in the study. The participants were patients with hypertension or diabetes who underwent elective surgery between 1982 and 1985 and who survived to discharge. Two-hundred and eighteen patients survived until discharge. These patients were followed for at least five years post-operatively. The estimated relative risk of death for each comorbidity rank was 1.4 and for each decade of age was 1.4. When age and comorbidity were modelled as a combined age-comorbidity score, the estimated relative risk for each combined age-comorbidity unit was 1.45. Thus, the estimated relative risk of death from an increase of one in the comorbidity score proved approximately equal to that from an additional decade of age. The combined age-comorbidity score may be useful in some longitudinal studies to estimate relative risk of death from prognostic clinical covariates.
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Cited by (5220)
The evaluation of frequency and predictors of delirium and its short-term and long-term outcomes in hospitalized older adults’
2024, Asian Journal of PsychiatryDelirium is a common complication in hospitalized older adults with multifactorial etiology and poor health outcomes.
To determine the frequency and predictors of delirium and its short-term and long-term outcomes in hospitalized older adults.
A prospective observational study was performed in patients aged ≥60 years consecutively admitted to geriatric ward. Potential risk factors were assessed within 24 hours of hospital admission. Delirium screening was performed on admission and daily thereafter throughout the hospital stay using Confusion Assessment Method (CAM). Patients were followed up at 1-year post-discharge.
The study included 200 patients with mean age 73.1 ± 8.83 years. Incidence and prevalence rate of delirium were 5% and 20% respectively. Multivariable regression analysis revealed emergency admission (OR= 5.12 (1.94–13.57), p=0.001), functional dependency (Katz index of Independence in Activities of Daily Living (Katz-ADL) score <5) 2 weeks before admission (OR= 3.08 (1.30–7.33), p=0.011) and more psychopathological symptoms (higher Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale (BPRS) total score) (OR=1.12 (1.06–1.18), p=0.001) to be independently associated with delirium. Patients in delirium group had significantly high in-hospital mortality (OR= 5.02 (2.12–11.8), p=0.001) and post-discharge mortality (HR= 2.02 (1.13–3.61), p=0.017) and functional dependency (Katz-ADL score <5) (OR= 5.45 (1.49–19.31), p=0.01) at 1-year follow up.
Delirium is quite frequent in geriatric inpatients and is associated with high in-hospital and post-discharge mortality risk and long-term functional dependency. Emergency admission, pre-hospitalization functional dependency, and more general psychopathological symptoms are independently associated factors. Hence, earliest identification and treatment with early implementation of rehabilitation services is warranted.
Recent clinical studies have shown favorable outcomes for cement augmentation for fixation of trochanteric fracture. We assessed the cost-utility of cement augmentation for fixation of closed unstable trochanteric fractures from the US payer's perspective.
The cost-utility model comprised a decision tree to simulate clinical events over 1 year after the index fixation surgery, and a Markov model to extrapolate clinical events over patients’ lifetime, using a cohort of 1,000 patients with demographic and clinical characteristics similar to that of a published randomized controlled trial (age ≥75 years, 83 % female). Model outputs were discounted costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a lifetime. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the impact of parameter uncertainty on results.
Fixation with augmentation reduced per-patient costs by $754.8 and had similar per-patient QALYs, compared to fixation without augmentation, resulting in an ICER of −$130,765/QALY. The ICER was most sensitive to the utility of revision surgery, mortality risk ratio after the second revision surgery, mortality risk ratio after successful index surgery, and mortality rate in the decision tree model. The probability that fixation with augmentation was cost-effective compared with no augmentation was 63.4 %, 58.2 %, and 56.4 %, given a maximum acceptable ceiling ratio of $50,000, $100,000, and $150,000 per QALY gained, respectively.
Fixation with cement augmentation was the dominant strategy, driven mainly by reduced costs. These results may support surgeons in evidence-based clinical decision making and may be informative for policy makers regarding coverage and reimbursement.
Findings from the KNOW-CKD Study indicate that higher systolic blood pressure time in target range is associated with a lower risk of chronic kidney disease progression
2024, Kidney InternationalTime-in-target range (TTR) of systolic blood pressure (SBP) is determined by the proportion of time during which SBP remains within a defined optimal range. TTR has emerged as a useful metric for assessing SBP control over time. However, it is uncertain if SBP-TTR can predict the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Here, we investigated the association between SBP-TTR during the first year of enrollment and CKD progression among 1758 participants from the KNOW-CKD (KoreaN Cohort Study for Outcomes in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease). Baseline median estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 51.7 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Participants were categorized into four SBP-TTR groups (0%, 1–50%, 51–99%, and 100%). The primary outcome was CKD progression defined as 50% or more decline in eGFR from baseline measurement or the initiation of kidney replacement therapy. During the follow-up period (9212 person-years over a median 5.4 years), the composite outcome occurred in 710 participants. In the multivariate cause-specific hazard model, a one-standard deviation increase in SBP-TTR was associated with an 11% lower risk of the composite outcome with hazard ratio, 0.89 (95% confidence interval, 0.82–0.97). Additionally, compared to patients with SBP-TTR 0%, the respective hazard ratios for those with SBP-TTR 1–50%, 51–99%, and 100% were 0.85 (0.68–1.07), 0.76 (0.60–0.96), and 0.72 (0.55–0.94), and the respective corresponding slopes of eGFR decline were –3.17 (–3.66 to –2.69), –3.02 (–3.35 to –2.68), –2.62 (–2.89 to – 2.36), and –2.33 (–2.62 to –2.04) ml/min/1.73 m2. Thus, higher SBP-TTR was associated with a decreased risk of CKD progression in patients with CKD.
Comprehensive Evaluation of the Ability of Comorbidity and Health Status Indices to Improve the Prediction of Perioperative Morbidity and Long-Term Survival Outcomes After Radical Cystectomy
2024, Clinical Genitourinary CancerIn the era of standardized outcome reporting, it remains unclear if widely used comorbidity and health status indices can enhance predictive accuracy for morbidity and long-term survival outcomes after radical cystectomy (RC).
In this monocentric study, we included 468 patients undergoing open RC with pelvic lymph node dissection for bladder cancer between January 2009 and December 2017. Postoperative complications were meticulously assessed according to the EAU guideline criteria for standardized outcome reporting. Multivariable regression models were fitted to evaluate the ability of ASA physical status (ASA PS), Charlson comorbidity index (± age-adjustment) and the combination of both to improve prediction of (A) 30-day morbidity key estimates (major complications, readmission, and cumulative morbidity as measured by the Comprehensive Complication index [CCI]) and (B) secondary mortality endpoints (overall [OM], cancer-specific [CSM], and other-cause mortality [OCM]).
Overall, 465 (99%) and 52 (11%) patients experienced 30-day complications and major complications (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥IIIb), respectively. Thirty-seven (7.9%) were readmitted within 30 days after discharge. Comorbidity and health status indices did not improve the predictive accuracy for 30-day major complications and 30-day readmission of a reference model but were associated with 30-day CCI (all P < .05). When ASA PS and age-adjusted Charlson index were combined, ASA PS was no longer associated with 30-day CCI (P = .1). At a median follow-up of 56 months (IQR 37-86), OM, CSM, and 90-day mortality were 37%, 24%, and 2.9%, respectively. Both Charlson and age-adjusted Charlson index accurately predicted OCM (all P < .001) and OM (all P ≤ .002) but not CSM (all P ≥ .4) and 90-day mortality (all P > .05). ASA PS was not associated with oncologic outcomes (all P ≥ .05).
While comorbidity and health status indices have a role in predicting OCM and OM after RC, their importance in predicting postoperative morbidity is limited. Especially ASA PS performed poorly. This highlights the need for procedure-specific comorbidity assessment rather than generic indices.
Charlson Comorbidity Index and Frailty as Predictors of Resolution Following Middle Meningeal Artery Embolization for Chronic Subdural Hematoma
2024, World NeurosurgeryResearch on variables associated with chronic subdural hematoma (cSDH) resolution following middle meningeal artery embolization (MMAE) is limited. This study investigated the clinical utility of age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (ACCI) and modified 5-item Frailty Index (mFI - 5) for predicting cSDH resolution following MMAE.
We identified patients who underwent MMAE at our institution between January 2018 and December 2022, with at least 20 days of follow-up and one radiographic follow-up study. Patient demographics, characteristics, and outcomes were collected. Complete resolution was defined as absence of subdural collections on CT-scan at last follow-up. Nonage adjusted CCI (CCI), ACCI, and mFI - 5 scores were calculated. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyzed the relationship between cSDH resolution and variables. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve established the utility of ACCI and mFI - 5 in predicting hematoma resolution.
The study included 85 MMAE procedures. In univariate analysis, patients without resolution were older, had higher CCI, higher ACCI, higher mFI - 5, and were more likely to have diabetes mellitus. In multivarible analysis, CCI (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.48, 0.91) was independently associated with resolution controlling for age and antithrombotic resumption. The area under the ROC (AUROC) curve was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.65–0.85) for ACCI and 0.64 (95% CI: 0.52–0.76) for mFI - 5. The optimal cutoffs for predicting resolution were ACCI ≥5 (sensitivity = 0.63, specificity = 0.77), and mFI - 5 > 0 (sensitivity = 0.84, specificity = 0.43).
ACCI and mFI - 5 moderately predict MMAE resolution and may aid in medical decision-making.
Sexual dysfunction in women with chronic obstructive lung disease
2024, Revista Clinica EspanolaDeterminar la prevalencia de la disfunción sexual en las mujeres con enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica (EPOC) y los factores relacionados con su aparición.
Se llevó a cabo un estudio observacional transversal a lo largo del año 2021, con inclusión de mujeres con EPOC diagnosticadas por espirometría mediante muestreo por conveniencia. Se recogieron datos de edad, tabaquismo, espirométricos, comorbilidades y fármacos utilizados, Además, se realizó un cuestionario de salud sexual.
Se incluyeron 101 mujeres con edad media 59,7 (11,3) años. Todas ellas habían experimentado un cambio en su actividad sexual y 44% lo atribuyeron a la EPOC. Tenía disnea durante el coito 51,5%. La prevalencia de disfunción sexual fue de 52,5%. Las pacientes que experimentaron esto eran de más edad y tenían un índice de Tiffeneau más bajo. Asimismo, con más frecuencia consumían alcohol, tenían hipertensión arterial y enfermedad cerebrovascular, y con menos tenían diabetes e insuficiencia cardiaca. Sin embargo, puntuaban más bajo en el índice de Charlson corregido por edad. Aquellas con disfunción sexual utilizaban con menos regularidad la triple terapia inhalada.
La disfunción sexual es frecuente en las mujeres con EPOC. Son necesarios más estudios que investiguen las causas, mecanismos y posibles tratamientos de la misma.
To determine the prevalence of sexual dysfunction in women with COPD and the factors related to its presence.
Cross-sectional observational study during 2021, including women with COPD diagnosed by spirometry through convenience sampling. Data on age, smoking status, spirometric data, comorbidities and medications used were collected. A sexual health questionnaire was administered.
The study included 101 women with a mean age of 59.7 (11.3) years. All had experienced a change in sexual activity, with 44% attributing it to COPD. Among them, 51.5% experienced dyspnea during coitus. The prevalence of sexual dysfunction was 52.5%. Women with sexual dysfunction were older and had a lower Tiffeneau index. Furthermore, they consumed alcohol more frequently and had hypertension and cerebrovascular disease, and less often, they had diabetes and heart failure. However, they scored lower on the Charlson index corrected for age. Patients with sexual dysfunction used inhaled triple therapy less frequently.
Sexual dysfunction is common in women with COPD. Further studies are needed to investigate its causes, mechanisms, and potential treatments.